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The Arab East and Central Asia impact assessment
Material posted: Publication date: 02-10-2013

Formed in the post-Soviet space independent by the state in addition to the need to address a wide range of domestic problems faced the challenge of establishing relations with the geopolitical centers of power. Recognized and unrecognized States and regions of post-Soviet space has ceased to be an exclusively Russian sphere of influence.

According to the assessment of Arab regional media, the regions of Central Asia and the Caucasus gained special strategic importance, becoming an arena of geopolitical confrontation in which the U.S., Israel and Turkey, on the one hand, seek to confront Russia and China on the other.

As showed the analysis, in the current situation of the Arab countries have minimal capacity to conduct its own regional policy in Central Asia.

Islamism, unsteadiness and vulnerability of the ruling regime and statehood, the presence of the geopolitical interests of centers of power, who has the ability to operate in Central Asia, qualitatively changes the balance of power in the region. A number of countries and leading powers are actively using the circumstances are such as to oust the traditional geopolitical actors and to strengthen its position. It is first and foremost about China, however, is to be expected in the center of attention of the Arab press was the actions of Israel and Turkey in the region. It is the policy and strategy of these States that are strategic allies of the United States, forcing the Arab world to pursue a more active policy in order to neutralize possible adverse effects. In the processes in Central Asia inevitably becomes involved and Azerbaijan.

Close cooperation between the U.S. and Israel in Central Asia takes place within the concept of the "struggle against terrorism and Islamism" aims to provide, primarily, long-term presence in the region, and through the demonization of the Arab world in the eyes of the population to ensure loyalty to Israel. The solution of the problem of consolidation in the region requires the US of creating conditions for permanent instability and instability in Central Asia. It is desirable that the instability of the periodically acquired a military component, for the neutralization of which in the region must present a "peacekeeping contingent", to stabilize the situation, if she will go out of control.

As it is paradoxical will sound, but the consequence of this strategy is the support of militant Islamism, are in a position to create the necessary level of tension, allowing geopolitical centers to talk about the necessity of its presence in the region. Support of political Islamism poses a threat to traditional Islam and the cultural and historical linkages between Central Asia and the Arab world, which could rely on the Arab countries.

From this point of view, the interest is the interview of the leader of Tajik Islamic party Islamist Egyptian portal "Onislam". Note that the portal provides to the Saudi preacher Salman al-Audu, chief editor of the portal Islamist "Islamtoday"[1] and an ardent opponent of Gamal Abdel Nasser and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Salman al-Oud does not deny that the plan of a foreign invasion of Syria is directly linked to the issue of ensuring Israel's security. In the case of foreign intervention in Syria, he said, the probability of attacks on militants is extremely low, as it is "contrary to generally accepted moral and legal norms"[2].

Interesting is the fact that social media sometimes instead of pictures of al-awda uses the symbol of the movement of the Muslim brotherhood – raised up the palm of black color on a yellow background with pressed to the center of the palm with the thumb[3]. Commenting on the nature of this symbol, the Syrian edition of "Dampness" and the Egyptian newspaper "Al-Ahram Al-Jadid" contains pictures of former Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi, Turkish Premier Recep Erdogan members of the organization of the Muslim brotherhood, American actress, wife of Prince of Monaco grace Kelly, where they are sealed up, with palms pressed to the center of the palm with the thumb[4]. The character of the publication called "Mason-Zionist", noting that in Egypt it has gained popularity since the crackdown of supporters of ousted President Mohammed Mursi[5].

Regarding the strengthening of ties of Central Asia with the Arab world in the economic sphere, it can be stated that the initiatives remain at the level of reasoning of experts and theoretical options. In the present review the statements from the Arab mass media limited to discuss the problems without offering concrete solutions. The impression that the Arab countries accept the limitation of its political, cultural and economic role in Central Asia. Considering the complicated relations of Turkey with the Turkic republics of the region, Israel, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, sticking to the focus on Russia and Iran, we can assume that the role of potential partners in the Arab countries in the region at the initial stage could be Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. In any case, the intention to enter into the region will inevitably face stiff competition from regional and geopolitical power centers, already present in Central Asia and is a non-trivial task.

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[1] "Islamtoday", <http://islamtoday.net/salman/>

[2] "Islamtoday", September 02, 2013, September 12, 2013,
<http://islamtoday.net/salman/artshow-78-191340.htm>

[3] <https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.434552153257.243219.259872638257&type=3>

[4] "Al-Ahram Al-Jadid", August 31, 2013, September 12, 2013,
<http://www.ahram-canada.com/15993/بالصور-أصل-علامة-رابعة-الإخوانية-صهي>

[5]"Dampress", September 07, 2013, September 12, 2013,
<http://www.dampress.net/index.php?page=show_det&category_id=33&id=31655&lang=ar>

 

Armine Hakobyan, an expert on the Middle East, orientalist-Arabist


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