The continued geopolitical tensions in the middle East affects global policy. The big powers one by one take new steps. So, the official Washington noted the need to restore cooperation between Israel and Turkey. Experts say that this is underpinned by serious geopolitical factors. In this regard, there are different comments. Common between them is the idea that Ankara and tel Aviv as key players in the region must create a geopolitical balance. But the mechanism of this is not yet entirely clear, and there are many contradictions.
The date of approval in geopolitics: the US gathers allies
Barack Obama has urged Ankara and tel Aviv to resume the cooperation. Washington stated that it wants the normalization of relations between the two countries. Experts believe that this call by the White House has serious geopolitical reasons. They note that along with the change of the situation in the middle East in General, the important role played by the global interests of the West. In reality, Turkish-Israeli relations deteriorated. We all remember the incident with "Mavi Marmara". Since then, two allies of America in the region refrain from mutual accusations.
For those killed during the incident, 9 Turkish citizens official Ankara demanded from tel Aviv Yafo compensation. In addition, it demands that Israel apologize and end the siege of Gaza. At the request of US President Barack Obama, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu apologized to Ankara. Media reported that the parties almost reached agreement on the question of compensation. But returning to the post of Minister of foreign Affairs A. Lieberman has changed a lot.
He actually expressed the idea that friendship with Turkey would no longer be needed. According to him, Israel has good relations with Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and other Muslim States (see: Peter Lyukimson. Israel-Turkey: the United States decided to intervene / "Bulletin of Caucasus", February 21, 2014).
According to experts, the fact that the Minister of foreign Affairs of Israel not mentioned in this row of Turkey, is a Testament to the disinterest of tel Aviv in close cooperation with Ankara. It is difficult to accept, because among these A. Lieberman States a lot and those who enjoy good ties with Turkey. And it would be naive to expect that they will fully act according to the scenario of tel Aviv. At the same time, given the reality that relations between Israel and Turkey are associated with many factors.
In this regard, first of all it would be interesting to compare the developments in the middle East, with the recent changes in global geopolitics. There are signs that the appeal of Obama to Israel and Turkey in February this year with a call to "tolerate" has a reason. Experts note that a large role in the increased us attention to this issue played the events in Syria.
So, now there is a threat of export to the region from this country of terror. U.S. concerned about this (see: previous source) because, according to analysts, this wave can hit first of all America's allies in the region. This trend is coupled in terms of the interests of Washington many risks. Note that even Saudi Arabia is beginning to take steps to fight terror. Riyadh said that he would take tough measures against those who fought in Syria. They can be arrested, and they may be required to pay a large monetary penalty (see: Viktor Mikhin. Saudi Arabia: change foreign policy? / "New Eastern Outlook", February 28, 2014).
According to the Syrian newspaper "al-Watan", close to Riyadh's diplomatic circles say that Saudi Arabia, fearing the spread among its citizens extremism, began to change its foreign policy (see: Asghar Yousefi. Saudi Arabia: strategy shift or personnel changes? / "İnosmi.ru" on February 28, 2014).
Published in the London edition of "al-Jerusalem al-Arabi" on 6 February, also noted the following: "...the Change in Qatar, Turkey and Saudi Arabia their prior beliefs (in connection with Syria – Newtimes.az) ...shows that they do not bet on terrorist groups" (see: previous source).
Terror "winds of the" Arab spring: the concern for "rear garden"
Against this backdrop, the Arab media is reporting on the return of the fighting in Syria to their homeland. Therefore, there is the view that coverage of the terrorist wave in the middle East quite a wide area. In this regard, the caution of Washington is not in vain.
But the realities do not stop there. There are three major factors that compel the U.S. to restore Israel and Turkey. This is, firstly, the intensification of the contradictions in the cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Persian Gulf, second, the aggravation of the situation around Ukraine, thirdly, the growth of pessimistic forecasts about the future of the European Union. Thus, in particular, are concerned by Brussels and Washington, the words of George Soros.
At the last meeting of the cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Persian Gulf between members sharply differed. Saudi Arabia wants to turn this organization into the Union. This was opposed by Oman, United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Kuwait. They do not recognize the ambitions of Riyadh's sole leadership. In the creation of the Union of Arab States Saudi Arabia pursues mainly a geopolitical goal. The impetus for this was the developments in Syria, Iraq and Egypt. Beyond doubt, the moment does not suit the USA and Israel, because the Arabs speak with one voice.
Another stumbling block in the organization of Arab States linked to the desire of Oman and the United Arab Emirates to cooperate with Iran. On the background of the achievements of the United States, Europe, Russia and China a common denominator regarding Iran's nuclear program that scares Riyadh as Iran's influence in the region grows. Most Saudis are worried about the rapprochement between America and Tehran. Now in this question there was a lull, as the main attention is riveted to Ukraine. But after a while can start the process, is able to undermine the middle East.
It is obvious that Washington fears the possible consequences of the "Arab spring". He can oppose the Turkish-Israeli Alliance leadership ambitions of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, to be exact – to create a geopolitical balance in the region.
The aggravation of the situation around Ukraine has turned the middle East, figuratively speaking, in the "back garden". Now for the West and Russia it is important "to slow down" processes in this region. In the future struggle it would be useful to strengthen here the positions of the allies. For this reason Obama needs to restore Turkish-Israeli cooperation.
Against this backdrop, the West cannot be indifferent to the thesis of George Soros that "the European Union is facing a protracted decline" (see: George Soros. It is time to stand up for the European Union / "Financial Times", March 13, 2014). In order to conduct geopolitical struggle in several directions, the allies must be strong. Ukrainian question in the context of the leaves in the shade of the discord in the European Union.
Currently the resources of the organization aimed at the settlement of the conflict close to its borders. But not only the fate of the EU is uncertain and the cooperation of developing countries with Russia may lead to serious negative consequences for the West. So, the rapprochement between Israel and Turkey with Moscow would create a big problem. To "link" these two States into a single geopolitical course in this respect means trying to anticipate many difficulties.
The analysis above shows that the appeal of Obama to Ankara and tel-Aviv is very base. However it should be recognized that the region and its immediate neighborhood is rapidly changing geopolitical dynamics. In such circumstances it is difficult to predict what decision would be taken by Israel and Turkey. The experts also come to the conclusion that we should wait for the outcome of the elections in Turkey. But dark moments in this issue. Preparations for the elections in Turkey has been controversial and intense. Are not excluded and surprises.
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