The diplomatic initiative to Moscow on the transfer under international control of Syrian chemical weapons was reflected in the suspension of plans for U.S. aggression against Syria in the most positive way. At the same time, it is impossible not to realize that this diplomatic success secured the tranquility of the Middle East and the world only temporarily, because its plans against Syria, the Washington refused.
At the moment on one scale lies the public opinion set strongly against the U.S. aggression. Here you can take: a) the position of the U.S. population, more than 70% of which, according to the latest sociological research, don't approve of the calls Barack Obama to military action; b) international public opinion, which sees in the initiatives of Russia the prospect of an exit from dangerous political impasse and which stunned American "plays with matches" in the region, referred to as the "powder keg" of the planet. Will not be discounted and an official statement in support of the Russian initiatives of UN Secretary-General ban Ki-moon.
Balance – not diminishing the desire of the U.S. administration to start a war. However, America forward and the apparent obstacles, and pitfalls. The recent chemical attack near Damascus was committed, as is now well known, not the Syrian government army and its opponent. In other cases, chemical weapons were used in Syria, the warring gangs (and provided by Russia in the UN 100-page report about a chemical attack in Khan al-Assalah in the North of Syria, on 19 March, and the may statement of the head of the UN Commission to investigate the use of chemical weapons in Syria, Carla del Ponte about the use by rebels of chemical weapons based on sarin). That is, there is reason to fear that provocations can be repeated. The meaning of these provocations was and remains that they give to the United States, France and other countries of the anti-Syrian coalition, who themselves have enormous stockpiles of chemical weapons, the possibility to demand from Damascus unilateral disarmament under the threat of imminent attack, and under the pretext of "combating terrorism".
However, in addition to Syria's chemical weapons is the deterrence of aggression.
One such opportunity is the readiness of special operations forces in Syria to start operations in the U.S., the result of which can exceed expectations. According to the representative of the Ministry of defense of Syria in the U.S. are now on both legal and illegal, several hundred employees of the Syrian special forces "al-Vaadat al-cashier". Fighting groups of 3-7 people and have the task of conducting sabotage operations in case of application by the United States strike on Syria. The planned to defeat the purposes – the objects of management and infrastructure in densely populated States: Railways, power plants and substations, waterworks, oil and gas terminals, military facilities, including aviation and naval bases. According to the source, the decision was taken by the Syrian leadership, based on the experience of wars in Yugoslavia, Iraq, Libya, where a purely defensive approach to repel aggression in advance condemned the attacked party to kill.
While the Syrian special forces with extensive experience fighting in Israel, Lebanon and Syria, not necessarily to fight on the territory of the United States, to cause them appreciable damage. With the support of the Iranian special forces commando operations efficiency can be increased significantly - in scale, number, and potential military and economic damage to the American aggressor, the economic interests of which are represented in Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, etc.
Saudi Arabia, serving another active warmonger, not unfounded fears ripening for several years, the uprising of the Shiite population, which makes up 15% of the population of the Kingdom and set up very poranski (plus support fellow believers that are dominant in Iraq, Bahrain, and has large communities in Lebanon). The main part of the Saudi Shiites are concentrated in the Eastern province El-hasa, which has a special strategic importance for Riyadh due to its location on the coast of the Persian Gulf and the main reservoir of Saudi oil.
A kind of deterrent to aggression against Syria and stands Egypt, where it continues to fester the conflict the new government and the Islamists, supported by Ankara. The U.S. aggression against Syria at any moment to blow up the Egyptian civil war that will make the Suez canal for the passage of fuel tankers. This, in turn, actualizes the problem of alternative ways of delivery of oil, given that the way around the horn of Africa adds to the delivery time a couple of weeks, and the Russian Northern sea route, although it is the shortest waterway is able to connect all the major economic poles of the world (Western Europe, North America and Southeast Asia), is not yet equipped to deal with such tasks.
Economic problems which will arise in the event of a military strike on Syria, are not only inevitable fold rise in fuel prices, but with the approaching end of the dollar as the world's reserve currency: in the first half of 2013 from using the dollar in trade settlements in refused in not only Iran and Australia, and five of the ten leading world economies, including China, Japan, India and Russia.
Moscow and Beijing, which occupy the number one position in the world, respectively, in exports and imports of oil, is able to announce its decision to completely abandon the trade oil for dollars at any time. It is here that lies the greatest danger to the United States. So the desire to wage war against Syria and looks like an attempt to delay the collapse of the dollar. Not without reason coincided an autumn aggravation of the situation around Syria and the shift from February to autumn of this year, debate on the threat of U.S. default. No democracy in Syria are concerned in Washington and the issue of the debt ceiling, vital from the point of view of the prospect of turning the United States into "failed state"...
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