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Russia in the "shadow" of China
Material posted: Publication date: 17-10-2017

18 October starts the XIX Congress of the Communist party of China. The re-election of XI Jinping in China in October 2017, and following this expected victory of supporters of Vladimir Putin in the upcoming presidential elections in 2018 (see: "the Bilderberg experts" are concerned Russia) in Russia may lead to a breakdown of the former Pro-Western world order, radically changing picture of the world and, above all, a serious transformation on the Eurasian continent, says Sergey Nebrenchin, the expert of Fund of assistance to public diplomacy, doctor of historical Sciences, Professor, one of the authors the author of the monograph "China-superpower XXI: prospects of Russian-Chinese relations".

China XXI century

In the period after the XIX Congress, there was a significant strengthening of positions of China in the world politics and economy, military-technical sphere. In a short period of time, China has gradually become one of the world's largest economic powers, strengthen national sovereignty and, as a result, was able to provide a comprehensive and growing influence on the development of major international political and economic processes. China is ready to actively participate in the global reformatting of the world, including the foundations of a new monetary world in which the Chinese yuan will come to the forefront. He actively competes for leadership in the global processes of exploration of new technological structures.

One of the main tools for implementing the Chinese leadership in the world is the geo-economic initiative of the Great silk road (GSR), which aimed at the revival, expansion and development of trade-economic relations on the Eurasian continent, the Eurasian collective security system on the principles of accounting and harmonization of mutual interests, cooperation, stability. The current global Eurasian initiative of Beijing is a gigantic integration project, the complex is already designed routes or future transcommunication, not only road, but oil and gas pipeline and Sea route from the China sea to Europe. The project goes far beyond the borders of the SCO countries and covers almost the whole of Asia: Western, Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, and other regions of the Eurasian continent.

The desire in the long term, to ensure national security, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country, the leadership of China consistently carries out strategic planning. Starting in 2012, when took place the XVIII Congress of the CPC and the coming to power of the country XI Jinping, formulated the "Chinese dream", defined the goal to create a "rich, powerful, democratic, civilized, harmonious and modern socialist state" in the century since the founding of the PRC (2049). And in this way the Chinese have largely succeeded.

With the coming to power of XI Jinping sharply intensified the fight against corruption, which in China is regarded as a real threat to national security. According to various estimates, the party purging with subsequent prosecutions, in one way or another relate to annually 180 thousand people, for comparison, in 2012 is 10-20 thousand. This year on suspicion of corruption was arrested sun Jancy, first Secretary of the municipalities of Chongqing, one of the most promising politicians of China that can really compete with the current leaders of the country.

In opposition with the internal opposition, the corrupt leader of China is forced to strengthen the position of the PLA and military bureaucracy in the state and society as the guarantor of national security, sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country.

Modern claims of the PRC to world leadership in the twenty-first century encounter well-founded opposition on the part of leading Western countries and, in particular, the US and its "owners". In defiance of Beijing to escalate the situation around North Korea, which threatens to escalate into a major armed conflict involving other countries in the region. Without the involvement of external forces provoked the aggravation of the situation on the Indo-Chinese border. An anti-Chinese orientation is sectarian conflict in Myanmar, where the Muslim Rohingya people in conflict with the authorities have the direct support of US allies and, in particular, Saudi Arabia. The West is threatened by Beijing to restrict its trade and economic expansion in the world, threatened with sanctions and restrictions.

In response, Beijing has pursued a policy of focusing the country on its domestic problems and interests. He is concerned about the issue of harmonization of relations in the sphere of production, control of domestic consumption, strengthen its security forces and, in particular, of the PLA. Of special importance to development of mutually beneficial political and economic relations with other countries and international organisations. And, above all, we are talking about such promising international formats as BRICS, SCO, ASEAN, etc.

Total rassklade political forces

Along with a large number of associates and supporters, today the head of China XI Jinping a lot of overt and covert opponents. They criticize the country's leader and his team for their shortcomings and failings associated with demographic distortions that increase environmental, food, terrorist threats in the country, the slowdown of GDP growth. Especially zealous opponents si Signorina in power criticize him for "being too soft" in defending the interests of the country in the international arena. They oppose the attempts of supporters of the President of China to cancel the "formula of Deng Xiaoping "5+5", which limits to two terms the re-election of leader of the country.

That's why before President XI Jinping and his supporters the task today is, on the one hand, to ensure the preservation of power in the hands of the current military-bureaucratic factions of the CCP, to neutralize their political opponents, to prevent the emergence of preconditions for disintegration of the country according to the Soviet scenario, and finally, to ensure the implementation of the strategy special Chinese way to its specificity. In fact we are talking about the implementation of the Chinese version of the ideology of national socialism. In order to solve these problems, President XI Signorino necessary to support its policy at the XIX Congress, to try to move his supporters into key positions in the governing bodies of the CCP.

Not to forget that largely on the internal political situation in China vladeyut world clans and, in particular, the Rothschilds. Despite the fact that in 2015, in London was organized by the unprecedented reception of the Chinese delegation, headed by XI Jinping, reached an agreement on strategic partnership London and Beijing, representatives of the Rothschilds prefer "to store eggs in different baskets" and therefore actively cooperating with other political forces. The position of clan strong among the "Komsomol" and "Shanghai", Hong Kong, a number of influential Chinese Diaspora. In addition, the situation in China try to influence the Rockefellers, who are strong in the USA and the Vatican, seeking to seize the initiative in the socio-cultural sphere of activity of Chinese companies.

All this suggests that external forces will try to prevent the appreciation of the sovereign development of the country by the end of the XIX Congress of the CPC. The Chinese leadership is most afraid of most of all fear that internal political struggle, Yidu supporters and opponents of XI Jinping in China can "get out from under the carpet" and to spill out onto the street.

Currently, the internal political struggle is particularly acute occurs between the "Komsomol", came from the youth, who played a key role during the "cultural revolution" of the infamous Mao Zedong. "Komsomol" based on layers of the city and have a lot of support abroad, primarily in London and Washington. They are opposed to "red military aristocracy", ("military-bureaucratic wing" so-called "princes", based on the Chinese army. Internal political conflict also involved "Shanghai", which is the world's largest trade center, the largest largest metropolis on the ocean coast, where there was always much Western influence. Glubinnye mutual rejection between the "Komsomol" and security forces ("military-bureaucratic wing") party emerged since the use of military force, including tanks, against mass demonstrations in Beijing's Tiananmen square on June 4 1989. After these events until 2012 in government circles in China were dominated by "members of the Komsomol" and "Shanghai", proteges of the financial sector elite of China, which the press has often called the "Pro-American globalists". They are at the time and opened the Chinese market to Western goods and had attracted financial flows.

At the highest levels of government spokesmen of competing lines are the President of China, XI Zinopin, which is security forces, and Prime Minister Li Keqiang, standing on the position of the "Komsomol". According to experts, at the initiative of the Prime Minister, but not without a supply from the outside, not times to take initiatives contrary to the interests of the country. In particular, with its submission arose the topic of federalization of the country. As you know, the Prime Minister was talking about reducing the powers of the centre and transferring them in favor of the regions. In conditions when in China strong position of the regional elites, this kind of initiative could have negative consequences.

Russian-Chinese parallel

The current alignment of political forces in the Chinese society is largely reminiscent of the Russian political landscape. Group XI Jinping, the leadership of the PLA, some regional elites represent the Chinese "isolationists" who, like the supporters of Vladimir Putin in Russia trying to pursue only national interests. In defiance of the Russian state-Patriotic forces active Pro-Western institutions of the deep statethat most consistently opposed the Russian-Chinese strategic partnership.

Despite the fact that Chinese society in comparison with Russian realities is more homogeneous in ethnic and religious terms, it is also heavily influenced from the outside. Representatives of Chinese business circles and the political and economic elite are closely related to the commercial and ideological-political ties with its Western partners. Therefore, they are interested in defending Western values, the promotion of sootvetstvuyushie development model of state and society. When formal complete domination of the CCP in the country competing factions, not always opposing each other openly, however, hold conflicting views on the future of China.

In Russia with high hopes are waiting for decisions of the 19th Congress and, above all, the re-election of XI Jinping. Between "the military-bureaucratic wing" of China and "state-Patriotic forces" of Russia, who rallied around President Vladimir Putin, there are vzaimouvazhitelnyj relationship. They closely interact and support each other in the international arena, participate in individual conflicts in Eurasia, have great hopes in the further development of trade-economic, military and humanitarian ties. Being in the "shadow" of China gives Russia a historic chance to survive and preserve ourselves in the era of globalnet challenges and threats.

The re-election of XI Jinping in China in October 2017, and following this expected victory of supporters of Vladimir Putin in the upcoming presidential elections 2018 in Russia may lead not only to a strengthening in the power of our countries ' security forces and other national-oriented forces, more opening each other's domestic markets and the expansion of trade and economic cooperation. According to experts, political events in China and Russia will inevitably lead to a breakdown in the former Pro-Western world order, radically changing picture of the world and, above all, a serious transformation on the Eurasian continent.

Sergei Nebrenchin

Tags: Russia , China


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