Center for Strategic Assessment and forecasts

Autonomous non-profit organization

Home / Politics and Geopolitics / Great Arab Revolution / Articles
Egypt: the revival of the Muslim khanate
Material posted: Publication date: 08-02-2011

Recent events in North Africa in the media has already dubbed as the beginning of the Arab "date" revolution. Special concerns of the world community raises the likelihood that the wave of street chaos and democracy in Egypt, which is a key country in the Arab world, the authorities can come to a radical Muslim organization, in particular, the "Muslim brotherhood".

What are the causes of a new "Arab revolt"?

As is known, the presence of a "revolutionary situation" in society, when "the lower classes do not want to live in the old way, and tops can not control...", not always in history have led to a revolution and change of power. World experience of the revolutionary events clearly demonstrates that the most successful revolutions occurred not without outside influence. Whether we take for example the French revolution, the coming to power of the Bolsheviks in Russia, the "velvet revolution" in Europe during the collapse of the socialist system, "restructuring" and "spontaneous" demonstrations in Moscow, with the result that the Soviet Union collapsed, the "color" revolutions in the former Soviet Union in the XXI century etc.

Separately, you can recall the events of 1991 in Moscow, when at the Manege square, headed by Yeltsin's supporters to protest against the Soviet regime goes up to 300-500 thousand people. Powerful informational, organizational, financial, and diplomatic support of the West has done its job, and the Kremlin seized the liberal Democrats. Just a couple of years Manezhnaya square in Moscow filled the meetings of Russian patriots, who, under slogans of struggle against the unpopular liberal reforms, had collected no less, and even more people. However, the revolution did not happen. She did not need the West. Therefore, the new Moscow regime gave carte Blanche to the crackdown on dissidents by the people. As a result, he shot the Parliament and quashed the rebellion the information under the approval of the West.

The current revolutionary events in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen has also arisen not on an empty place, for this there are objective preconditions. His limit reached, the impoverishment of the masses. About 70 percent of the population barely make ends meet, spending all their money on food. All this occurred against the background of rapid stratification of the population, increasing the gap in living standards between rich and poor, growing corruption and unemployment.

Adverse impact on the socio-economic situation in these countries has had the impact of the global crisis of 2008. As you know, the USA, saving our economy and helping your allies, to inject trillions of dollars. As a result of any side effects. However, the more money in the economy, the stronger they become cheaper. The increased rate of global inflation to the greatest extent the raw material has hit the economies of poor countries and, in particular, Egypt, where there was a sharp increase in food prices.

At the time, during the French revolution was sufficient to provoke an increase in two times the price of bread to a week later, the Bastille was stormed. It is known that in 1991, the Moscow authorities deliberately prevented the delivery of food to Moscow from the regions, to provoke discontent among Muscovites who unwittingly were forced to support Democrats demonstrations on Manezh square.

What purpose may pursue an external force in the countries of North Africa?

As you know, the main contradiction of modernity is, on the one hand, in the rapid increase of the world population and, as a consequence, consumption growth, on the other, the increasing shortage of natural resources and environmental degradation. The situation is compounded by the fact that in a world of rapidly increasing natural disasters and climatic cataclysms and disasters, which are a harbinger of cyclic geophysical changes, when a map of the world will change once again. On the background of the catastrophic degradation of natural habitat, a victim of the economy of Tehnosila, approval in the world of the ideology of mass consumption and pleasure, artificial environment radically changes not only the world of architecture, a way of behavior and thinking of the peoples of the world, but also a vivid image of the man, turning him into an obedient robotic creature. It becomes apparent that humanity has entered a period of threat of development.

Analysis of the impact of the global financial crisis clearly indicate that it cannot be successfully overcome in the foreseeable future. According to estimates of foreign and domestic experts, mankind will be in a period of threat of its further evolution, which is fraught with unpredictable consequences for the fate of the world. The media have already appeared information about the fact that to resolve the crisis cannot be resolved without a drastic reduction of the population of the Earth. Today we are talking about approximately 2-4 billion "extra" people out of nearly 7 billion living on Earth. To achieve this goal it is expected through new and old "hot" wars and conflicts, including the use of weapons of mass destruction, as well as social upheavals and revolutions, inspiring mass starvation, pandemics and epidemics, forcing mass psychosis, sustain the environment biosocial degradation (prostitution, alcoholism, drug abuse, etc.) peoples of the world, etc.

Therefore, the current revolutionary events in North Africa fits into the script of destabilization, which can lead to mass armed clashes and megamicres, which can provoke local wars and conflicts. The events in Egypt go beyond the region and can lead to a change in the geopolitical configuration, not only in North Africa but in the middle East, the Caucasus and Central Asia. The coming to power in Cairo of supporters of the Islamization of politics and politicization of Islam will inevitably lead to the radicalization of some Muslim regimes, including the former Soviet Union.

In addition, from the media aware of the existence of a global geopolitical projects on the consolidation of the Muslim world in the framework of a single state. The idea of the revival of the Arab Caliphate within the borders of Islamic States is not new and has many supporters in the capitals of many Islamic States. According to some estimates, the initiative for the revival of the so-called Muslim khanate belongs to the descendants "of the sages of the middle East", which at the time had a direct relation to the creation and dissemination of Islamic religion in the world. Today they play a key role in building a "new world order", the introduction of programmes to reduce the world's population.

From the point of view of new geopolitical neopopulists education could become a subject of world policy, designed to restrain the geopolitical ambitions of China and India, and to resist the Christian world. As you know, the policy of "divide and conquer" has not lost its relevance in new historical conditions. The implementation of such a global project cannot pass without bloodshed. Obviously, armed clashes can be extended to the whole vast territory from North Africa to Tibet and from the Indian ocean to Russia's southern "underbelly."

However, it would not be quite correct to speak only about the nature of events in Egypt. There is all signs of the natural actions of the opposition, which can disrupt the plans of the "architects of the new world order." In the US, of course, to fear the arrival of radical Muslims to power in this strategically important region of the world. And Egypt – one of the key players of regional politics, the ally of Israel and enemy of Iran. So the Americans have and otherwise maintain contacts with the opposition. More targeted engagement with radical Islamists carried out through some intelligence agencies and international non-governmental organizations.

What threats to Russia come from Egypt and other countries in the region?

We must not forget that the territory of Russia in the conditions of growing shortage of raw materials and the global environmental crisis remains the most "tasty morsel" for the possession of which at the turn of the century geopolitical struggle broke out with renewed vigor. Therefore not surprising that the multinational people of Russia is one of the main contenders in the lists of "excess" peoples of the world.

First, a bright public example, thanks to the media which became known to a wide international community, is contagious. Therefore, there is a risk of further radicalization of Islam in the Caucasus and in Central Asia, particularly Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, and even in the Russian Volga region, Bashkortostan and Tatarstan. The events in Egypt will objectively affect the consolidation and strengthening of the Muslim diasporas in major Russian cities, primarily in Moscow.

Secondly, the destabilization of the situation in the vast region will give impetus to new waves of uncontrolled migration to the North, including in Russia. The development of such events further aggravate inter-ethnic relations in the Russian Federation.

Thirdly, the escalation of tension in the region of the world, rich in strategic raw materials, can lead to imbalance prices, and even trigger a crisis that will be detrimental to the development of the socio-economic situation in Russia.

If implemented, the plans of forming a "Muslim khanate", there would inevitably be a threat to the existence of the Russian Federation, where about 20% of the population are against Islam. It is possible that the history will repeat again, at the time when Russia is in a tough clash and a confrontation with the "unwise Khazars who "took revenge" prophetic Oleg, and defeated Prince Svyatoslav.

However, nowadays the Russian Federation has already threatened from all sides, not only from the South, but even from the Arctic, where the unfolding struggle for control over energy resources. Against modern Russia since the cold war continues, "undeclared" information war in military-political, information and cultural, financial-economic, demographic, socio-economic and other spheres. In this context, the revolutionary events in some North African countries can be used to provoke the escalation of the situation in Russia.

In General, the situation in and around Egypt suggests, in a period of threat for world civilization development none of the countries in the world can count on a quiet life, and even those where provoked tensions in various regions of the world. In the words of the famous Persian poet: "We are all one Adam nature, will suffer one disorder, the whole world will cover the concern, don't you compassionate to others, we are the name of the person will not give!"

 

Fyodor Pashin

Source: http://www.segodnia.ru/index.php?pgid=2&partid=28&newsid=13399

Tags: Africa


RELATED MATERIALS: Politics and Geopolitics
Возрастное ограничение