The UN Security Council on the evening of March 17 Eastern time (early morning Friday, March 18, Moscow time) adopted a resolution on the situation in Libya. Resolution adopted by a majority vote.
For the draft resolution submitted by the delegations of Lebanon, great Britain, France and the United States have voted 10 of 15 member countries of the UN security Council. Five countries - Russia, China, Germany, India and Brazil - abstained from voting. Thus, the Libyan conflict enters a new phase. Following the closure of airspace may be followed by a ground operation by the coalition forces, as has frequently been the case in recent history.
For its part, the Libyan government is making every effort to obtain a decisive superiority over the opposition forces – in particular the leader of the Libyan Jamahiriya Muammar Gaddafi in a televised address to the nation promised to launch an attack on the city of Benghazi, a center of resistance, also in the night of 17 to 18 March.
The time for scoring decisions for interventions chosen well – the situation with the Japanese nuclear power plant fully absorbed the attention of the entire international community and Libya hardly anyone even remembers.
Option of open military intervention (albeit under a UN security Council Resolution) in any conflict, as a rule, is the result of the failure of the "covert operations" carried out earlier.
That "velvet revolution" in Libya have gone out of her way and organisers of military success turns away from the "mountain of opposition", it became clear already a few days ago, when troops loyal to the government began systematically, city by city led to obedience the rebellious areas of the country.
According to Libyan eyewitnesses of the events in the East of the country under the control of the authorities remained separate districts and garrisons, not with folded arms. It was reported that Tobruk and Marge power remains in the hands of supporters of the leader, which is indirectly confirmed by the absence of "victory reports" of these cities.
According to media reports it is known that the situation has stabilized to 27 February. From this moment the split is conventionally takes place in the area Agabey, despite the fact that no one road was blocked. West of RAS Lanuf any of the rebels was not, and is not, except for isolated clashes on megaplatanos the soil. The entire West, southwest and Central parts of the country are under the control of Tripoli and live as if nothing happened. The largest number of the country's tribe – the clan of the warfalla have declared their allegiance to Gaddafi. Power firmly in the hands of a strategic district in Sirte, Misurata – HOMS.
The analysis shows that Libya has largely been "a tough nut" for setproperties and experts from the U.S. army cyber command, whose task is the organization and carrying out special operations to destabilize the ruling regimes in objectionable countries. This is largely due to the fact that since the beginning of the project a massive "realignment" of the Middle East went somewhat as planned in the quiet of the offices at Langley and Fort Meade.
A key factor in the unpredictability of the situation development in the Arab world, was the participation in the project of Iran. As in the Islamic Republic, it became known about forthcoming events remain unknown (maybe we will learn more about this interesting lot). But the fact remains – Iran came into the game, and came into the game on their own terms and with their own goals.
The first clear evidence of the readiness of Iran to participate in upcoming events was the statement about the readiness of the naval forces of the country for the first time in decades to send a number of ships in the Mediterranean and the Red sea. This statement was made in the second half of January this year, when events in North Africa are still unfolding.
Realizing that the situation in the region is about to change, will change drastically and not in favor of the Islamic Republic of Iran decided to use it and play to its traditional field – relations between Shiites and Sunnis, while the main scenario unfolded in the context of the traditional "democratization". And we must pay tribute to Iranian experts, despite the lack of sufficient experience, managed quite effectively to organize and strengthen the tensions in one of the Pro-American countries in the region – Bahrain. Later we will return to events in this country.
That Libya will be faced with a serious opponent, the organizers no doubt realized. This is evidenced by the fact that the Libyan part of the operation was conducted under the curtain of the campaign, when and Tunisia and Egypt and several other countries were at the mercy of the rebels and needs advanced positions had been prepared almost across the Libyan border.
Initially the coup d'état in Libya was quite traditionally – crowd "rebellious people" in front of the cameras of international news agencies, statements gallant commanders, forming column to March on Tripoli. Against this background, the experts noted a number of traditional and inconsistencies, which in recent years has become a "business card" special operations forces of the U.S. army and its allies – the country is suddenly flooded in a huge number of beautifully made flags of the opposition, on the streets there were posters of typographic quality, on the walls – graffiti high Patriotic content. In the broadcast world TV channels, citing senior sources in the leadership of Libya, there were reports that Gaddafi allegedly escaped in Minsk, in Caracas, in any country. Battle scenes of the battles of the opposition were once again very similar to the staged shots, as it was previously in Iraq - a group the same "rebels", zamotannym in Arab scarves running around in the sand, simulating a battle with government troops, and reporters exacerbated the situation, speaking about non-existent snipers, the brutal heat and mass casualties. Everything went according to plan – the information advantage has been gained, the Libyan media have lost the initiative and information space almost completely took over the "invisible fighters on the propaganda front".
Soon, however, the situation has changed – the Libyan leader made a short, but a logical statement in which he explained Western spices that he just can't resign because is not an elected leader – he's just a symbol, and it can only be destroyed. Following this, he told Western society that any government would defend itself, when the conspirators seize the stores of arms in such protection manifests itself the most important function of the state. It is appropriate to recall the words of the leader of another revolution - V. Lenin - spoke when creating the red Army, that every revolution only then something costs, if it can defend itself.
Revolution and defended – opposition forces are unable to maintain the initiative obtained in the beginning of the event, thanks to the suddenness of their early and powerful support of Western countries and Israel, and on the contrary, government forces actively joined the fight after the confusion of the first days.
It is worth noting that from Libya we did not observe such an outcome of the local elite, as it were, for example, in Egypt, when out of the country in the first days of unrest flew on their aircraft family richest people in the country.
At the same time, significantly complicate the situation in Bahrain, which made US worry for the fate of their naval base.
Here we will mention only one point. To understand the situation it was enough to look at how the world media covered the events in Bahrain. As mentioned on the dispersal of oppositionists, which, incidentally, was conducted with the mass use of heavy armored vehicles and air support.
In fact, these events were the signal that is necessary to turn off the "Arab revolution" - the situation on the dangerous line and further development on the former scenario threatens to plunge into instability and key U.S. allies in the region.
Further course of events is clear: the protests in Bahrain and at the same time "acceleration time" in Libya, by the beginning of the military intervention. And all of this information under the guise of the events in Japan.
In this context, the Libyan UN security Council resolution – it is the expected event. Which is just one of the small links of the project, which was launched in North Africa.
However, this resolution is simultaneous proof that events took an unplanned version – unrest in Pro-American countries in the region were not predicted, and Iran's role was underestimated. So it was time to stop "date revolution."
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