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Blood Ahwaz and Grand strategy
Material posted: Pankratenko Igor N.Publication date: 26-09-2018
"Undeclared war" against Iran is entering a new phase.

Coming to you live grandly an official picture of the next parade held in the capital of the Iranian province of Khuzestan, Ahwaz, was destroyed in a few seconds. Silence, soaked in the solemnity of the moment, tore the crackle of gunfire, ready to March parade units of the Islamic revolutionary guard Corps, scattered over the square, women and children in panic, falling over curbs fences. Camera operators snatched pieces of panic, soldiers, covering their bodies civilian – and the morning sun heated the asphalt and concrete was flowing red blood, after a few seconds, becoming black...

29 dead. About 60 people in hospitals with wounds of varying severity – children, women, soldiers, old people. In Iran today mourning. While politicians, diplomats and intelligence services in many capitals, from Washington to Riyadh, Abraham, hot phones and brainstorming. Plan of activation and involvement in an undeclared war against Iran emigre groups and their battle groups, local extremists and separatists, "undermining national Borderlands" of the country seems to work. And now requires a new level of coordination headquarters, spread around the world with their residency in Iran.

Just a few hours after the tragedy in Ahwaz responsibility for the attack took on itself the "Islamic state" (IG, is prohibited in the Russian organization), presenting video recording of militants allegedly going for this surgery. But in reality, the real artists with those shown on the video, only one thing in common – and the actors, and the terrorists were wearing uniforms of the guards Corps and Basij organizations. Inconsistencies in the words of those who spoke on camera operators IG, allow with full confidence to assert that in this case the propaganda Department of this organization has simply decided to earn a few easy points to maintain its image as the "omnipotent and omnipresent".

Last year's terrorist attacks in Tehran which killed 17 and injured about 50 people – Yes, indeed, were organized and conducted local igielski underground. But as they say, not this time, though Tehran this is not only not better, but even quite the contrary. As if the emissaries and supporters in Iran – species threat, but still exotic, the activation of the local separatist and extremist underground – the problem completely different, much higher level.

A few months ago, this spring, Ahwaz, as well as the whole of Khuzestan, one of the three provinces of compact residence of the Arab minority in Iran, was shaken by waves of protest, in which mixed national and social-economic slogans. Someone then came out to the street, protesting against the scandalous programme on local television, saying it was an insult to Arabs-ahwazi. Someone like the oilers in the neighboring Ahwaz Abadan, chanted on the streets, "We're hungry!", protesting against low wages and meager budget allocations for social needs of the province. But the essence of the protests was the dissatisfaction with Tehran and the current presidential administration.

If we add to this the growing dissatisfaction in other "national Borderlands" – the provinces of West Azerbaijan, Ardabil and Indian chronic problems in Balochistan and a new round of tension with the part of the Iranian Kurds, there is an explosive mixture, the explosion of which may result catastrophic for the Islamic Republic consequences.

Especially when come into play foreign players. Not afraid of blood – it's not them, and the Iranians. Separatists and extremists in Khuzestan long lure of the monarchies of the Persian Gulf. "We will not wait for the battle to them (the Iranians – "NG") on the land of Saudi Arabia, said bluntly last year, crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the second, and in some issues – and the first person of the Kingdom. We will do everything to battle went they have in Iran". Then "feeding" has become a high-calorie, Nazarite, and on oil installations and pipelines in Khuzestan and the adjacent provinces, a wave of sabotage and Subversion.

Light a dream of Riyadh and the Emirates of the "final solution to the Iranian issue", the war in which, as snidely said Robert gates, the Gulf monarchies "will fight Iranians to the last American," roughly trampled boots Realpolitik. Now the same task the Saudis and their local allies took to decide the excellent from the military, but equally bloody ways. The example of Israel, whose undeclared war against the Islamic Republic, which they are in Iranian territory, is called "Dagan strategy". Also, the emphasis is on the use of foreign centers of the Iranian opposition – from the paramilitary sections of the "Mujahideen of the Iranian people" to the battle groups of the Democratic party of Iranian Kurdistan – and of the local underground.

The whole ball of foreign intelligence services and Iranian terrorists, dissidents, monarchists, separatists, smugglers and drug traffickers – and some subsidies from outside will not be full – course, needs coordination. About in August of last year, still not entering the team of Donald trump, in his programmatic article for the National Review wrote John Bolton, the current US presidential Advisor on national security. He is in it, by the way, Iranian Kurds, Baluchis and Arabs of Khuzestan – as the driving force of pressure on Tehran – mentions.

In Ahwaz, all of the separate anti-Iranian strategies have developed into one. The sole purpose of which recently told members of the self-proclaimed Iranian government in exile (now there is) the former mayor of new York, now counsel Donald trump Rudolph Giuliani. "I don't know when we are going to overthrow the regime in Tehran. This can happen in a few days, months, years. But it will happen," he prophesied. By a strange coincidence, since his speech to the spilled blood in Iranian Khuzestan it's only been a few hours...

Igor Pankratenko


Tags: Iran , assessment

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