Center for Strategic Assessment and forecasts

Autonomous non-profit organization

Home / Politics and Geopolitics / Revolution of the XXI century: nonviolent methods / Articles
Theory of controlled chaos
Material posted: Publication date: 29-05-2013

In recent times the world has intensified the revolutionary processes. And then, in a media report about the attempts to organize rallies or demonstrations, or on their holding. It is well known, than it can end, but it still happens and sometimes leads to success.

In the media and science such revolution is called "color". They all happen on a single scenario, painstakingly written in certain offices and laboratories. In such scenarios, there were disturbances in Serbia, then Georgia and Ukraine, later these technologies were used in Tunisia and Egypt.

In all cases, the main role was played by the crowd, and the authorities capitulated, like feta, "From the lights, the crowd mercilessly, we quietly ran away..." it is Worth noting that all these countries were using the same technologies, their activists were trained in one place. The first sign was Serbia and was organized by the Center for applied nonviolent action and strategies — or CANVAS, held in Belgrade, organized by former activists of the Serbian Otpor. CANVAS has trained activists of Georgian "Khmara", Ukrainian "Pora", the Egyptian "April 6" and "Kefaya", which played a leading role in the disturbances. But what made the people take to the streets? Simple dissatisfaction, plus a little manipulation, which is based on the so-called theory of controlled chaos.

Still in 80-e years has been actively developed theory of controlled chaos, at the head of which lay the mathematical groundwork in the subject. In the middle of the century, Tom R. systematized all this knowledge and wrote his ideas about chaos, on the basis of his ideas were riots in France in 1968. In the same year, J. Sharpe defended his thesis on methods of struggle against dictatorship, which later resulted in the work "From dictatorship to democracy. 198 methods of struggle." These ideas subsequently rose rosary a plan of "colored" revolutions.

In 1984 was organized by the Institute for interdisciplinary studies Santa Fe, who specializes in chaos theory. In 1992 at the conference of the Institute, whose members included many political analysts, was made by Steve Mann report "chaos Theory and strategic thought", in which he combined this theory with the new geopolitical concepts of superiority.

Mann to speak about necessity "to strengthen the operation of criticality" and "creating chaos" as the instruments of ensuring the national interests of the United States. As mechanisms to "create chaos" at the opponent he calls "promoting democracy and market reforms" and "improving economic standards and resource needs, displacing ideology".

The creation of chaos in a particular area: 1. assistance in the establishment of liberal democracy; 2. maintaining market reform; 3. the improvement in the living standards of the population, especially the elites; 4. the displacement of traditional values and ideologies.

But to implement such ideas was required to increase the role of information technology that would ensure effective integration. Progress in this area has allowed people not just to communicate but also to cooperate among themselves in large groups. So in 2001 in Thailand, the rally, the people were convened by means of SMS — messages. Further more, the social networks were actively used "new" revolutionaries, like in Egypt.

As Mann based on the above ideas was noted that success requires: first, merging in the right moment and for the desired period of disparate political forces opposing the existing legitimate government. Secondly, undermining confidence the country's leaders in their strength and in the loyalty of the security forces.

Thirdly, direct destabilization of the situation in the country, the promotion of a sentiment of protest involving criminal elements with the aim to spread panic and distrust of government.

Fourthly, the organization of the change of power through a military rebellion, a "democratic" election or other means.

These ideas reflect the great picture of all of modern "colored" and not revolutions. As noted by Mann himself, by the way, an expert on the USSR and Russia, such actions do not yield result only in Belarus, but the end is not yet.


Source: http://politobzor.net/703-teoriya-upravlyaemogo-haosa.html


RELATED MATERIALS: Politics and Geopolitics