Center for Strategic Assessment and forecasts

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Author: Grinyaev Sergey
Found: 34
Some approaches to the identification of not previously identified threats to national security
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

One of the most important, not having to date, the precise apparatus to address is the problem of detecting and identifying new threats to national security.

15-02-2018 Grinyaev Sergey 1672 2

Threats of the digital era: a brief analysis of the possible consequences
Проект: Future of the Information Society

The text of the speech at the round table "Modern warfare and armed conflicts: the characteristics and features" in parche "Patriot" during the International exhibition and conference Army 2017.

26-08-2017 Grinyaev Sergey 3318 0

A collection of the contest works of winners of the prize named after A. Snesarev 2012-2016
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

The collection includes the works of the laureates of the prize named after A. Snesarev for 2012-2016. The articles devoted to topical issues of modern geopolitics, military history, and reflect the interests and views of young scientists of Russia. The book is intended for a wide circle of readers interested in military history, geopolitics, the role and place of Russia in the modern world.

22-02-2017 Grinyaev Sergey 4993 0

"The Tallinn manual on the application of the legal norms of international law to hostilities in cyberspace" in the estimates of Western experts
Проект: Future of the Information Society

The document, known as "the Tallinn manual on the application of the legal norms of international law to hostilities in cyberspace" (hereinafter Guide) is quite highly regarded American and European experts, although an ambiguous judgment on certain aspects. Experts agree that the Manual is the first document of its kind and lays the Foundation for the law enforcement management information-technical confrontation in computer networks.

09-07-2013 Grinyaev Sergey 1986 0

To the question about strategic thinking
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

We have prepared and published a regular analytical report. This time the theme was the study of issues of organization strategic planning and forecasting in the United States. All the material of the report is available on our website.

06-12-2012 Grinyaev Sergey 1950 0

Grinyaev S.N., Arzumanyan R.V. "The strategic analysis and planning in the USA at the present stage: point of view of experts of RAND"
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

The increased number of publications, conferences and other events allow to speak about steady growth of interest in the topic of strategy and the big (Grand) strategy in the U.S., which makes the preparation of even a brief review of the most important publications in the broad topic for research.

06-12-2012 Grinyaev Sergey 6386 0

Who is responsible for a false prediction? Problems and prospects of analytical activities in Russia
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

It is recognized that the key geopolitical events of recent years, such as global financial and economic crisis and the "Arab spring" was outside the field of view of analysts of all levels. According to numerous sources, the decision makers, did not receive warnings of the imminent onset of events that dramatically change the situation in the world.

13-10-2012 Grinyaev Sergey 3593 0

The American Council on foreign relations takes global governance into their own hands
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

Today the Russian expert community actively discuss the prospects of formation of the so-called "open government". Some experts believe that this is the way of legalization of the Pro-Western experts and NGOs, and official inclusion in the process of political decision-making. Particularly criticized Russia's plans for accession to the so-called International partnership "open government" at the next meeting of the organization April 16-18, in Brazil. Of course, it is likely that many of the negative comments only reflect the overall thrust of the "enemy image".

16-04-2012 Grinyaev Sergey 5129 0

The Tu-155 cryogenic liner
Проект: New in Science

Predictions about the imminent exhaustion of hydrocarbons increasingly appear on the tapes of the world's media. The fact that the recoverable oil reserves come to an end, I can't deny even the optimists. Today special significance is another question – what to do to mankind when the oil will run out? Today, the most traditional answer is that alternative and environmentally friendly sources will not allow humanity to die. This is largely so. What about aviation? American specialists have developed a special jet fuel on the basis of bioethanol.

15-04-2011 Grinyaev Sergey 3488 0

Shuttles go to rest. Whether they will replace the Russian Soyuz?
Проект: New in Science

Aerospace Agency of the USA has informed that from the cosmodrome on Cape Canaveral on Thursday, February 25, at 00:50 Moscow time started the Shuttle discovery. At 22:14 on 26 February, the ship docked to the International space station (ISS), bringing to the ISS a crew of six astronauts, several tons of cargo, scientific equipment, and a humanoid robot named Robonaut Second. The Shuttle mission is designed for 11 days. On orbit "discovery" set in the thirty-ninth and last time.

02-03-2011 Grinyaev Sergey 2299 0

Universal electronic card: convenient, but not soon
Проект: Future of the Information Society

The theme of the 21st session of the Commission for modernisation and technological development of Russian economy under the President of the Russian Federation has become a "Universal electronic map as means for granting state and municipal services to the citizens of the Russian Federation". Meeting under the chairmanship of the President of RF Dmitry Medvedev took place on 28 February in the building of the Prefecture of the Central administrative district of Moscow.

01-03-2011 Grinyaev Sergey 1867 0

Experts on the key technology of the development of the world economy
Проект: Formation of the innovation system in Russia

A number of foreign analytical centers: the research aimed to study the dynamics of development of innovative sectors of the global economy in order to predict and identify those areas of development that in the near future could lead to an explosive growth of the world economy that will contribute to its exit from the prolonged crisis.

23-12-2010 Grinyaev Sergey 3519 0

Nanotechnology: panacea or threat to humanity?
Проект: New in Science

According to some observers, at the recent summit Russia – NATO in Lisbon between Moscow and the West reached a new level of strategic partnership, the climax of which was the initiative of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, who suggested the NATO to create a missile defense system in which Russia will cover Europe from possible missile threats in exchange for a similar commitment from the West. If successful, this project could be the first example of real integration of military capabilities of two previously hostile parties.

21-11-2010 Grinyaev Sergey 2855 0

Network effects in strategic planning of information operations
Проект: Analytical work: the experience of Russian and foreign experts

A number of research centers in the U.S. work continues on the creation of software systems of strategic planning and decision support in the area of national security. Of particular interest developers of such programs raises the issue of modeling the behavior of decision makers, in conditions of increase of crisis phenomena and of the origin of the conflict in the area of national security of the state and use of the results obtained for the formation of plans and evaluating the effectiveness of information operations.

07-10-2010 Grinyaev Sergey 3711 0

Russia in the global information society: threats, risks and ways to neutralize them
Проект: Future of the Information Society

The second half of the twentieth century was characterized by large-scale changes in the lifestyle of a society — the processes of globalization, tremendous advances in various fields of science and technology has led to profound changes in the field of international relations. How and in what way reflected the changes taking place in Russia as one of the key players present?

11-10-2008 Grinyaev Sergey 7156 0

About the directions of scientific research at IBM
Проект: New in Science

IBM Corporation increase allocations for scientific research, primarily in areas related to the study of various aspects of globalization and slavishly modern society.

23-11-2007 Grinyaev Sergey 1945 0

Thinking about the future of the information society
Проект: Future of the Information Society

Modern science claims that life originated in the depths of the ocean several billion years ago. The first inhabitants of our planet were, apparently, organic molecules. These molecules does not in principle differ from their predecessors, however, had one, a truly historic property – the property of reproducing itself. Appeared on Earth the replicators. Together with their appearance, is included the mechanism of natural selection, and the evolution of the wheel spun, gaining momentum. However, it is worth considering. Only the ability to Cambodia production is a sufficient condition for the appearance of life?

19-09-2007 Grinyaev Sergey 5027 0

RAND experts have assessed the direction and pace of the information revolution in Russia
Проект: Future of the Information Society

The experts at RAND in the framework of the analysis of the impact of the information revolution on the formation and development of modern society prepared a report on the situation in the field of Informatization in Russia - "Russia and the information revolution", MG-422, 2005. This report continues a series of studies performed by the Office of research in the field of national security RAND in 1999 and 2005.

22-11-2006 Grinyaev Sergey 2171 0

Evolutionary programtechnical and its application to information security
Проект: New in Science

At the present stage of development of society, many of the traditional resources of human progress lose its original meaning. Along with this process is becoming more important information. Information becomes the main resource of scientific, technical and socio-economic development of the global community. One can speak of a new stage in the development of the social formation - information society.

08-09-2005 Grinyaev Sergey 2723 0

The digital divide Nations
Проект: Future of the Information Society

Over the last three to five years by a number of analytical centers of the US administration, work is underway to study the effects of the information revolution on the transformation processes of modern society. Some studies focus on development of basic provisions of the new geopolitical concepts of Washington, which is based on the thesis of "digital inequality" Nations encountered in the course of the information revolution and globalization of the world economy.

31-01-2004 Grinyaev Sergey 2946 0

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